Delek Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.19
| DK Stock | USD 17.34 0.18 1.05% |
Delek |
Delek Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 8.19
The tendency of Delek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.19 or more in 90 days |
| 17.34 | 90 days | 8.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Delek Energy to drop to $ 8.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Delek Energy probability density function shows the probability of Delek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Delek Energy price to stay between $ 8.19 and its current price of $17.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.54 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Delek Energy has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Delek Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Delek Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Delek Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Delek Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Delek Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delek Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Delek Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Delek Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Delek Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Delek Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Delek Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Delek Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Delek Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Delek Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Delek Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Delek Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Delek Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of November 2024 Delek Energy paid $ 0.255 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Exploring December 2024s US Undervalued Small Caps With Insider Buying |
Delek Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Delek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Delek Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 822.2 M |
Delek Energy Technical Analysis
Delek Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Delek Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Delek Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Delek Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Delek Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Delek Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Delek Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Delek Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Delek Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Delek Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Delek Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Delek Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Delek Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Delek Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 18th of November 2024 Delek Energy paid $ 0.255 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Exploring December 2024s US Undervalued Small Caps With Insider Buying |
Check out Delek Energy Backtesting, Delek Energy Valuation, Delek Energy Correlation, Delek Energy Hype Analysis, Delek Energy Volatility, Delek Energy History as well as Delek Energy Performance. For more information on how to buy Delek Stock please use our How to buy in Delek Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delek Energy. If investors know Delek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Delek Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 18.7 | Dividend Share 0.99 | Earnings Share (5.65) | Revenue Per Share 216.451 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.34) |
The market value of Delek Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Delek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Delek Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Delek Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Delek Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Delek Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delek Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delek Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delek Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.