Dillards (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 385.84
| DL7A Stock | EUR 432.00 18.00 4.35% |
Dillards |
Dillards Target Price Odds to finish below 385.84
The tendency of Dillards Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 385.84 or more in 90 days |
| 432.00 | 90 days | 385.84 | about 77.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dillards to drop to € 385.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.67 (This Dillards probability density function shows the probability of Dillards Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dillards price to stay between € 385.84 and its current price of €432.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dillards has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dillards are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dillards is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dillards has an alpha of 0.4993, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dillards Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dillards
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dillards. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dillards Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dillards is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dillards' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dillards, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dillards within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 38.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Dillards Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dillards for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dillards can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Dillards Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dillards Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dillards' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dillards' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.1 M |
Dillards Technical Analysis
Dillards' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dillards Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dillards. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dillards Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dillards Predictive Forecast Models
Dillards' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dillards' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dillards' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dillards
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dillards for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dillards help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Dillards Stock
When determining whether Dillards is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dillards' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dillards' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dillards Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Dillards Backtesting, Dillards Valuation, Dillards Correlation, Dillards Hype Analysis, Dillards Volatility, Dillards History as well as Dillards Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Dillards Stock please use our How to Invest in Dillards guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.