Deluxe Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.35
| DLX Stock | USD 23.87 0.29 1.23% |
Closest to current price Deluxe long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Deluxe |
Deluxe Target Price Odds to finish below 16.35
The tendency of Deluxe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.35 or more in 90 days |
| 23.87 | 90 days | 16.35 | roughly 2.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Deluxe to drop to $ 16.35 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.31 (This Deluxe probability density function shows the probability of Deluxe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Deluxe price to stay between $ 16.35 and its current price of $23.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.46 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.83 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Deluxe will likely underperform. Additionally Deluxe has an alpha of 0.1646, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Deluxe Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Deluxe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deluxe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Deluxe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Deluxe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Deluxe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Deluxe, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Deluxe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Deluxe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Deluxe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Deluxe can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Deluxe has 1.67 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.92, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Deluxe has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Deluxe to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 89.0% of Deluxe shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 2nd of December 2024 Deluxe paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Deluxe Corp CEO Barry McCarthy purchases 53,975 in stock |
Deluxe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Deluxe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Deluxe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deluxe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72 M |
Deluxe Technical Analysis
Deluxe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Deluxe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Deluxe. In general, you should focus on analyzing Deluxe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Deluxe Predictive Forecast Models
Deluxe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Deluxe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Deluxe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Deluxe
Checking the ongoing alerts about Deluxe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Deluxe help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Deluxe has 1.67 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.92, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Deluxe has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Deluxe to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 89.0% of Deluxe shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 2nd of December 2024 Deluxe paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Deluxe Corp CEO Barry McCarthy purchases 53,975 in stock |
Additional Tools for Deluxe Stock Analysis
When running Deluxe's price analysis, check to measure Deluxe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deluxe is operating at the current time. Most of Deluxe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deluxe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deluxe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deluxe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.