Digimarc Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.88

DMRC Stock  USD 35.03  0.14  0.40%   
Digimarc's future price is the expected price of Digimarc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Digimarc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Digimarc Backtesting, Digimarc Valuation, Digimarc Correlation, Digimarc Hype Analysis, Digimarc Volatility, Digimarc History as well as Digimarc Performance.
For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.
  
At present, Digimarc's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.61, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (15.17). Please specify Digimarc's target price for which you would like Digimarc odds to be computed.

Digimarc Target Price Odds to finish below 26.88

The tendency of Digimarc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 26.88  or more in 90 days
 35.03 90 days 26.88 
about 8.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Digimarc to drop to $ 26.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.02 (This Digimarc probability density function shows the probability of Digimarc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Digimarc price to stay between $ 26.88  and its current price of $35.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Digimarc has a beta of 0.24 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Digimarc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Digimarc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Digimarc has an alpha of 0.4791, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Digimarc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Digimarc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digimarc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.4134.4937.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.2435.3238.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.4736.5539.62
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3030.0033.30
Details

Digimarc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Digimarc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Digimarc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Digimarc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Digimarc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
2.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Digimarc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Digimarc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Digimarc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Digimarc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.76 M.
Digimarc currently holds about 68.39 M in cash with (22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.47.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Friday Checkout Is Kroger looking past its deal with Albertsons

Digimarc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Digimarc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Digimarc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digimarc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.2 M

Digimarc Technical Analysis

Digimarc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Digimarc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Digimarc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Digimarc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Digimarc Predictive Forecast Models

Digimarc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Digimarc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Digimarc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Digimarc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Digimarc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Digimarc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Digimarc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (45.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.76 M.
Digimarc currently holds about 68.39 M in cash with (22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.47.
Roughly 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Friday Checkout Is Kroger looking past its deal with Albertsons
When determining whether Digimarc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Digimarc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Digimarc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Digimarc Stock:
Check out Digimarc Backtesting, Digimarc Valuation, Digimarc Correlation, Digimarc Hype Analysis, Digimarc Volatility, Digimarc History as well as Digimarc Performance.
For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Digimarc. If investors know Digimarc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Digimarc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.93)
Revenue Per Share
1.857
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.189
Return On Assets
(0.30)
Return On Equity
(0.53)
The market value of Digimarc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Digimarc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Digimarc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Digimarc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Digimarc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Digimarc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Digimarc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Digimarc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Digimarc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.