Dunham Enhanced Market Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 20.7
| DNSPX Fund | 20.86 0.18 0.87% |
Dunham |
Dunham Enhanced Target Price Odds to finish below 20.7
The tendency of Dunham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 20.70 or more in 90 days |
| 20.86 | 90 days | 20.70 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dunham Enhanced to drop to 20.70 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Dunham Enhanced Market probability density function shows the probability of Dunham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dunham Enhanced Market price to stay between 20.70 and its current price of 20.86 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dunham Enhanced has a beta of 0.0829 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dunham Enhanced average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dunham Enhanced Market will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dunham Enhanced Market has an alpha of 0.1725, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Dunham Enhanced Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dunham Enhanced
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dunham Enhanced Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dunham Enhanced Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dunham Enhanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dunham Enhanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dunham Enhanced Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dunham Enhanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Dunham Enhanced Technical Analysis
Dunham Enhanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dunham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dunham Enhanced Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dunham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dunham Enhanced Predictive Forecast Models
Dunham Enhanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dunham Enhanced's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dunham Enhanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dunham Enhanced in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dunham Enhanced's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dunham Enhanced options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Dunham Mutual Fund
Dunham Enhanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dunham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dunham with respect to the benefits of owning Dunham Enhanced security.
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