Douglas Elliman Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.53
| DOUG Stock | USD 2.45 0.05 2.08% |
Closest to current price Douglas long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Douglas |
Douglas Elliman Target Price Odds to finish over 17.53
The tendency of Douglas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.53 or more in 90 days |
| 2.45 | 90 days | 17.53 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Douglas Elliman to move over $ 17.53 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Douglas Elliman probability density function shows the probability of Douglas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Douglas Elliman price to stay between its current price of $ 2.45 and $ 17.53 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Douglas Elliman has a beta of -0.19 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Douglas Elliman are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Douglas Elliman is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Douglas Elliman has an alpha of 0.6192, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Douglas Elliman Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Douglas Elliman
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Douglas Elliman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Douglas Elliman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Douglas Elliman Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Douglas Elliman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Douglas Elliman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Douglas Elliman, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Douglas Elliman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Douglas Elliman Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Douglas Elliman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Douglas Elliman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Douglas Elliman is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Douglas Elliman appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 955.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B. | |
| Douglas Elliman currently holds about 204.62 M in cash with (30.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Douglas Elliman Inc. Sees Large Decrease in Short Interest |
Douglas Elliman Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Douglas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Douglas Elliman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Douglas Elliman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 127 M |
Douglas Elliman Technical Analysis
Douglas Elliman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Douglas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Douglas Elliman. In general, you should focus on analyzing Douglas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Douglas Elliman Predictive Forecast Models
Douglas Elliman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Douglas Elliman's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Douglas Elliman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Douglas Elliman
Checking the ongoing alerts about Douglas Elliman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Douglas Elliman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Douglas Elliman is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Douglas Elliman appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 955.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.15 B. | |
| Douglas Elliman currently holds about 204.62 M in cash with (30.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.52, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Douglas Elliman Inc. Sees Large Decrease in Short Interest |
Check out Douglas Elliman Backtesting, Douglas Elliman Valuation, Douglas Elliman Correlation, Douglas Elliman Hype Analysis, Douglas Elliman Volatility, Douglas Elliman History as well as Douglas Elliman Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Elliman guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Elliman. If investors know Douglas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Douglas Elliman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Earnings Share (1.02) | Revenue Per Share 11.518 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Douglas Elliman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Douglas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Douglas Elliman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Douglas Elliman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Douglas Elliman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Douglas Elliman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Douglas Elliman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Douglas Elliman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Douglas Elliman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.