Dundee Precious Metals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.95
| DPM Stock | CAD 13.20 0.06 0.45% |
Dundee |
Dundee Precious Target Price Odds to finish below 4.95
The tendency of Dundee Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 4.95 or more in 90 days |
| 13.20 | 90 days | 4.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dundee Precious to drop to C$ 4.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Dundee Precious Metals probability density function shows the probability of Dundee Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dundee Precious Metals price to stay between C$ 4.95 and its current price of C$13.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dundee Precious Metals has a beta of -0.0247 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dundee Precious are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dundee Precious Metals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dundee Precious Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dundee Precious Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dundee Precious
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dundee Precious Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dundee Precious Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dundee Precious is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dundee Precious' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dundee Precious Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dundee Precious within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Dundee Precious Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dundee Precious for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dundee Precious Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dundee Precious generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Potential Upside For Dundee Precious Metals Inc. Not Without Risk - Simply Wall St |
Dundee Precious Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dundee Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dundee Precious' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dundee Precious' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 185.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 595.3 M |
Dundee Precious Technical Analysis
Dundee Precious' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dundee Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dundee Precious Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dundee Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dundee Precious Predictive Forecast Models
Dundee Precious' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dundee Precious' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dundee Precious' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dundee Precious Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dundee Precious for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dundee Precious Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dundee Precious generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Potential Upside For Dundee Precious Metals Inc. Not Without Risk - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Dundee Stock
Dundee Precious financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dundee Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dundee with respect to the benefits of owning Dundee Precious security.