Daqo New Energy Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.51
| DQ Stock | USD 17.51 0.11 0.63% |
Daqo |
Daqo New Target Price Odds to finish below 17.51
The tendency of Daqo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 17.51 | 90 days | 17.51 | about 12.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Daqo New to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 12.61 (This Daqo New Energy probability density function shows the probability of Daqo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Daqo New Energy has a beta of -0.46 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Daqo New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Daqo New Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Daqo New Energy has an alpha of 0.2285, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Daqo New Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Daqo New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Daqo New Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Daqo New Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Daqo New is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Daqo New's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Daqo New Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Daqo New within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Daqo New Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Daqo New for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Daqo New Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Daqo New Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Daqo New Energy Shares Surge Amid Semiconductor Sector Movement |
Daqo New Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Daqo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Daqo New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Daqo New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 B |
Daqo New Technical Analysis
Daqo New's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Daqo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Daqo New Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Daqo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Daqo New Predictive Forecast Models
Daqo New's time-series forecasting models is one of many Daqo New's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Daqo New's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Daqo New Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Daqo New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Daqo New Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Daqo New Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Daqo New Energy Shares Surge Amid Semiconductor Sector Movement |
Additional Tools for Daqo Stock Analysis
When running Daqo New's price analysis, check to measure Daqo New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Daqo New is operating at the current time. Most of Daqo New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Daqo New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Daqo New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Daqo New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.