Dian Swastatika (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42,768

DSSA Stock  IDR 41,100  925.00  2.30%   
Dian Swastatika's future price is the expected price of Dian Swastatika instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dian Swastatika Sentosa performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dian Swastatika Backtesting, Dian Swastatika Valuation, Dian Swastatika Correlation, Dian Swastatika Hype Analysis, Dian Swastatika Volatility, Dian Swastatika History as well as Dian Swastatika Performance.
  
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Dian Swastatika Target Price Odds to finish over 42,768

The tendency of Dian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 41,100 90 days 41,100 
about 44.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dian Swastatika to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.42 (This Dian Swastatika Sentosa probability density function shows the probability of Dian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dian Swastatika Sentosa has a beta of -0.0874 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dian Swastatika are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dian Swastatika Sentosa is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dian Swastatika Sentosa has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dian Swastatika Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dian Swastatika

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dian Swastatika Sentosa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41,09841,10041,102
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34,59534,59845,210
Details

Dian Swastatika Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dian Swastatika is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dian Swastatika's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dian Swastatika Sentosa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dian Swastatika within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
2,679
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Dian Swastatika Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dian Swastatika for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dian Swastatika Sentosa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Dian Swastatika Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dian Swastatika's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dian Swastatika's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding770.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments612.1 M

Dian Swastatika Technical Analysis

Dian Swastatika's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dian Swastatika Sentosa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dian Swastatika Predictive Forecast Models

Dian Swastatika's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dian Swastatika's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dian Swastatika's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dian Swastatika Sentosa

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dian Swastatika for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dian Swastatika Sentosa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dian Stock

Dian Swastatika financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dian with respect to the benefits of owning Dian Swastatika security.