Diamond Estates Wines Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.23

DWS Stock  CAD 0.21  0.01  5.00%   
Diamond Estates' future price is the expected price of Diamond Estates instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Diamond Estates Wines performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Diamond Estates Backtesting, Diamond Estates Valuation, Diamond Estates Correlation, Diamond Estates Hype Analysis, Diamond Estates Volatility, Diamond Estates History as well as Diamond Estates Performance.
  
Please specify Diamond Estates' target price for which you would like Diamond Estates odds to be computed.

Diamond Estates Target Price Odds to finish over 0.23

The tendency of Diamond Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 0.23  or more in 90 days
 0.21 90 days 0.23 
about 72.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Diamond Estates to move over C$ 0.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 72.74 (This Diamond Estates Wines probability density function shows the probability of Diamond Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Diamond Estates Wines price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.21  and C$ 0.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Diamond Estates has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Diamond Estates average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Diamond Estates Wines will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Diamond Estates Wines has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Diamond Estates Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Diamond Estates

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diamond Estates Wines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.204.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.204.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.194.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.210.32
Details

Diamond Estates Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Diamond Estates is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Diamond Estates' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Diamond Estates Wines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Diamond Estates within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Diamond Estates Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Diamond Estates for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Diamond Estates Wines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diamond Estates generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diamond Estates has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Diamond Estates has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Diamond Estates has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Diamond Estates Wines has accumulated 21.22 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Diamond Estates Wines has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Diamond Estates until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Diamond Estates' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Diamond Estates Wines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Diamond to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Diamond Estates' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 28.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.05 M.
Diamond Estates Wines has accumulated about 615.59 K in cash with (2.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 67.0% of Diamond Estates shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Diamond Estates Wines Issues Strategic 5.6M Stock Options to Key Employees in Growth Plan - StockTitan

Diamond Estates Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Diamond Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Diamond Estates' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diamond Estates' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.1 M

Diamond Estates Technical Analysis

Diamond Estates' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Diamond Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Diamond Estates Wines. In general, you should focus on analyzing Diamond Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Diamond Estates Predictive Forecast Models

Diamond Estates' time-series forecasting models is one of many Diamond Estates' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Diamond Estates' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Diamond Estates Wines

Checking the ongoing alerts about Diamond Estates for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Diamond Estates Wines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diamond Estates generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diamond Estates has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Diamond Estates has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Diamond Estates has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Diamond Estates Wines has accumulated 21.22 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.03, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Diamond Estates Wines has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Diamond Estates until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Diamond Estates' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Diamond Estates Wines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Diamond to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Diamond Estates' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 28.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.05 M.
Diamond Estates Wines has accumulated about 615.59 K in cash with (2.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 67.0% of Diamond Estates shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Diamond Estates Wines Issues Strategic 5.6M Stock Options to Key Employees in Growth Plan - StockTitan

Additional Tools for Diamond Stock Analysis

When running Diamond Estates' price analysis, check to measure Diamond Estates' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Diamond Estates is operating at the current time. Most of Diamond Estates' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Diamond Estates' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Diamond Estates' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Diamond Estates to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.