Everspin Technologies (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.98
| E5N Stock | EUR 6.15 0.10 1.65% |
Everspin |
Everspin Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 4.98
The tendency of Everspin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.98 or more in 90 days |
| 6.15 | 90 days | 4.98 | about 10.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Everspin Technologies to drop to € 4.98 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.6 (This Everspin Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Everspin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Everspin Technologies price to stay between € 4.98 and its current price of €6.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Everspin Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Everspin Technologies has an alpha of 0.266, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Everspin Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Everspin Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Everspin Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Everspin Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Everspin Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Everspin Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Everspin Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Everspin Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Everspin Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Everspin Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Everspin Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has €1.53 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Everspin Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Everspin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Everspin Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Everspin Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 M |
Everspin Technologies Technical Analysis
Everspin Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Everspin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Everspin Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Everspin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Everspin Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Everspin Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Everspin Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Everspin Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Everspin Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Everspin Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Everspin Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has €1.53 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Everspin Stock
When determining whether Everspin Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Everspin Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Everspin Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Everspin Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Everspin Technologies Backtesting, Everspin Technologies Valuation, Everspin Technologies Correlation, Everspin Technologies Hype Analysis, Everspin Technologies Volatility, Everspin Technologies History as well as Everspin Technologies Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Everspin Stock please use our How to Invest in Everspin Technologies guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.