Electro Ao (Brazil) Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 13.78
| EALT4 Preferred Stock | BRL 13.26 0.06 0.45% |
Electro |
Electro Ao Target Price Odds to finish over 13.78
The tendency of Electro Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 13.78 or more in 90 days |
| 13.26 | 90 days | 13.78 | about 53.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electro Ao to move over R$ 13.78 or more in 90 days from now is about 53.25 (This Electro Ao Altona probability density function shows the probability of Electro Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electro Ao Altona price to stay between its current price of R$ 13.26 and R$ 13.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Electro Ao has a beta of 0.78 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Electro Ao average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Electro Ao Altona will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Electro Ao Altona has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Electro Ao Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Electro Ao
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electro Ao Altona. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Electro Ao Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electro Ao is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electro Ao's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electro Ao Altona, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electro Ao within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Electro Ao Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electro Ao for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electro Ao Altona can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Electro Ao Altona generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Electro Ao Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electro Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electro Ao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electro Ao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24 M |
Electro Ao Technical Analysis
Electro Ao's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electro Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electro Ao Altona. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electro Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Electro Ao Predictive Forecast Models
Electro Ao's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electro Ao's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electro Ao's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Electro Ao Altona
Checking the ongoing alerts about Electro Ao for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electro Ao Altona help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Electro Ao Altona generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Electro Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Electro Ao's price analysis, check to measure Electro Ao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Electro Ao is operating at the current time. Most of Electro Ao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Electro Ao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Electro Ao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Electro Ao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.