Brinker International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 118.14
| EAT Stock | USD 129.74 2.78 2.19% |
Closest to current price Brinker long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Brinker |
Brinker International Target Price Odds to finish below 118.14
The tendency of Brinker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 118.14 or more in 90 days |
| 129.74 | 90 days | 118.14 | about 81.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brinker International to drop to $ 118.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.47 (This Brinker International probability density function shows the probability of Brinker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brinker International price to stay between $ 118.14 and its current price of $129.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.04 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Brinker International will likely underperform. Additionally Brinker International has an alpha of 0.757, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Brinker International Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Brinker International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brinker International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Brinker International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brinker International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brinker International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brinker International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brinker International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.32 |
Brinker International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brinker International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brinker International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Brinker is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| Brinker International has 2 B in debt. Brinker International has a current ratio of 0.35, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brinker to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Brinker International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Zacks Rank Explained How to Find Strong Buy Retail and Wholesale Stocks |
Brinker International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brinker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brinker International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brinker International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.6 M |
Brinker International Technical Analysis
Brinker International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brinker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brinker International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brinker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Brinker International Predictive Forecast Models
Brinker International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brinker International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brinker International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Brinker International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Brinker International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brinker International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Brinker is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days | |
| Brinker International has 2 B in debt. Brinker International has a current ratio of 0.35, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Brinker to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Brinker International has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: The Zacks Rank Explained How to Find Strong Buy Retail and Wholesale Stocks |
Additional Tools for Brinker Stock Analysis
When running Brinker International's price analysis, check to measure Brinker International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brinker International is operating at the current time. Most of Brinker International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brinker International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brinker International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brinker International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.