Ebusco Holding (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.56
| EBUS Stock | 1.10 0.04 3.77% |
Ebusco |
Ebusco Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 0.56
The tendency of Ebusco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.56 in 90 days |
| 1.10 | 90 days | 0.56 | over 95.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ebusco Holding to stay above 0.56 in 90 days from now is over 95.04 (This Ebusco Holding BV probability density function shows the probability of Ebusco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ebusco Holding BV price to stay between 0.56 and its current price of 1.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ebusco Holding BV has a beta of -1.36 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Ebusco Holding BV are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Ebusco Holding is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Ebusco Holding BV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ebusco Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ebusco Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ebusco Holding BV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ebusco Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ebusco Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ebusco Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ebusco Holding BV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ebusco Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.83 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Ebusco Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ebusco Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ebusco Holding BV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ebusco Holding BV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ebusco Holding BV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ebusco Holding BV may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Ebusco Holding BV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 24.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.22 M. | |
| Ebusco Holding generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ebusco Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ebusco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ebusco Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ebusco Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58 M |
Ebusco Holding Technical Analysis
Ebusco Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ebusco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ebusco Holding BV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ebusco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ebusco Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Ebusco Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ebusco Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ebusco Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ebusco Holding BV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ebusco Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ebusco Holding BV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ebusco Holding BV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ebusco Holding BV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ebusco Holding BV may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Ebusco Holding BV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 24.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.22 M. | |
| Ebusco Holding generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Ebusco Stock Analysis
When running Ebusco Holding's price analysis, check to measure Ebusco Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ebusco Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Ebusco Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ebusco Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ebusco Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ebusco Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.