EcoRodovias Infraestrutura (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.10
| ECOR3 Stock | BRL 4.55 0.57 11.13% |
EcoRodovias |
EcoRodovias Infraestrutura Target Price Odds to finish over 19.10
The tendency of EcoRodovias Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 19.10 or more in 90 days |
| 4.55 | 90 days | 19.10 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura to move over R$ 19.10 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e probability density function shows the probability of EcoRodovias Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura price to stay between its current price of R$ 4.55 and R$ 19.10 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EcoRodovias Infraestrutura has a beta of 0.76 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. EcoRodovias Infraestrutura Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EcoRodovias Infraestrutura
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EcoRodovias Infraestrutura. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EcoRodovias Infraestrutura Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EcoRodovias Infraestrutura is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
EcoRodovias Infraestrutura Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EcoRodovias Infraestrutura can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EcoRodovias Infraestrutura generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EcoRodovias Infraestrutura has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e has accumulated 6.78 B in total debt. EcoRodovias Infraestrutura has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist EcoRodovias Infraestrutura until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like EcoRodovias Infraestrutura sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for EcoRodovias to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
EcoRodovias Infraestrutura Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EcoRodovias Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 564.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
EcoRodovias Infraestrutura Technical Analysis
EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EcoRodovias Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e. In general, you should focus on analyzing EcoRodovias Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EcoRodovias Infraestrutura Predictive Forecast Models
EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's time-series forecasting models is one of many EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EcoRodovias Infraestrutura
Checking the ongoing alerts about EcoRodovias Infraestrutura for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EcoRodovias Infraestrutura help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EcoRodovias Infraestrutura generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EcoRodovias Infraestrutura has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e has accumulated 6.78 B in total debt. EcoRodovias Infraestrutura has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist EcoRodovias Infraestrutura until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like EcoRodovias Infraestrutura sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for EcoRodovias to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for EcoRodovias Stock Analysis
When running EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's price analysis, check to measure EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EcoRodovias Infraestrutura is operating at the current time. Most of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EcoRodovias Infraestrutura's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EcoRodovias Infraestrutura to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.