ECS Botanics (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.02
| ECS Stock | 0.02 0 6.25% |
ECS |
ECS Botanics Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of ECS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.02 after 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECS Botanics to stay under 0.02 after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This ECS Botanics Holdings probability density function shows the probability of ECS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ECS Botanics Holdings price to stay between its current price of 0.02 and 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ECS Botanics has a beta of 0.23 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ECS Botanics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ECS Botanics Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ECS Botanics Holdings has an alpha of 0.1783, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ECS Botanics Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ECS Botanics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECS Botanics Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ECS Botanics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECS Botanics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECS Botanics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECS Botanics Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECS Botanics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
ECS Botanics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ECS Botanics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ECS Botanics Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ECS Botanics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ECS Botanics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ECS Botanics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ECS Botanics Holdings has accumulated about 1.87 M in cash with (1.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ECS Botanics Boosts Cannabis Yields, Eyes Record Harvest - MSN |
ECS Botanics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ECS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ECS Botanics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECS Botanics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 M |
ECS Botanics Technical Analysis
ECS Botanics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ECS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ECS Botanics Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing ECS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ECS Botanics Predictive Forecast Models
ECS Botanics' time-series forecasting models is one of many ECS Botanics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ECS Botanics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ECS Botanics Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about ECS Botanics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ECS Botanics Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ECS Botanics has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| ECS Botanics had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ECS Botanics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ECS Botanics Holdings has accumulated about 1.87 M in cash with (1.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ECS Botanics Boosts Cannabis Yields, Eyes Record Harvest - MSN |
Additional Tools for ECS Stock Analysis
When running ECS Botanics' price analysis, check to measure ECS Botanics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ECS Botanics is operating at the current time. Most of ECS Botanics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ECS Botanics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ECS Botanics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ECS Botanics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.