Eurocastle Investment (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.69
| ECT Stock | EUR 9.40 0.05 0.53% |
Eurocastle |
Eurocastle Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 9.69
The tendency of Eurocastle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 9.69 after 90 days |
| 9.40 | 90 days | 9.69 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eurocastle Investment to stay under € 9.69 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Eurocastle Investment probability density function shows the probability of Eurocastle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eurocastle Investment price to stay between its current price of € 9.40 and € 9.69 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eurocastle Investment has a beta of -1.21 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Eurocastle Investment are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Eurocastle Investment is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Eurocastle Investment has an alpha of 0.5686, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Eurocastle Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Eurocastle Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eurocastle Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eurocastle Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eurocastle Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eurocastle Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eurocastle Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eurocastle Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Eurocastle Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eurocastle Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eurocastle Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eurocastle Investment is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Eurocastle Investment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Eurocastle Investment has accumulated about 39.19 M in cash with (2.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87. |
Eurocastle Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eurocastle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eurocastle Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eurocastle Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 M |
Eurocastle Investment Technical Analysis
Eurocastle Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eurocastle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eurocastle Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eurocastle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eurocastle Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Eurocastle Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eurocastle Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eurocastle Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eurocastle Investment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eurocastle Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eurocastle Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eurocastle Investment is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Eurocastle Investment appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Eurocastle Investment has accumulated about 39.19 M in cash with (2.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.87. |
Additional Tools for Eurocastle Stock Analysis
When running Eurocastle Investment's price analysis, check to measure Eurocastle Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eurocastle Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Eurocastle Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eurocastle Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eurocastle Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eurocastle Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.