ECOBANK GHANA (Ghana) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.48
| EGH Stock | 6.50 0.00 0.00% |
ECOBANK |
ECOBANK GHANA Target Price Odds to finish below 6.48
The tendency of ECOBANK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6.48 or more in 90 days |
| 6.50 | 90 days | 6.48 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECOBANK GHANA to drop to 6.48 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED probability density function shows the probability of ECOBANK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED price to stay between 6.48 and its current price of 6.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED has a beta of -0.0457 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ECOBANK GHANA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED has an alpha of 0.094, implying that it can generate a 0.094 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ECOBANK GHANA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ECOBANK GHANA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ECOBANK GHANA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ECOBANK GHANA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ECOBANK GHANA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED.ECOBANK GHANA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECOBANK GHANA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECOBANK GHANA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECOBANK GHANA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
ECOBANK GHANA Technical Analysis
ECOBANK GHANA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ECOBANK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ECOBANK GHANA LIMITED. In general, you should focus on analyzing ECOBANK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ECOBANK GHANA Predictive Forecast Models
ECOBANK GHANA's time-series forecasting models is one of many ECOBANK GHANA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ECOBANK GHANA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ECOBANK GHANA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ECOBANK GHANA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ECOBANK GHANA options trading.