Ecofin Global (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 173.68

EGL Stock   189.00  1.00  0.53%   
Ecofin Global's future price is the expected price of Ecofin Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ecofin Global Utilities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ecofin Global Backtesting, Ecofin Global Valuation, Ecofin Global Correlation, Ecofin Global Hype Analysis, Ecofin Global Volatility, Ecofin Global History as well as Ecofin Global Performance.
  
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Ecofin Global Target Price Odds to finish below 173.68

The tendency of Ecofin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  173.68  or more in 90 days
 189.00 90 days 173.68 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ecofin Global to drop to  173.68  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ecofin Global Utilities probability density function shows the probability of Ecofin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ecofin Global Utilities price to stay between  173.68  and its current price of 189.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ecofin Global has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Ecofin Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ecofin Global Utilities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ecofin Global Utilities has an alpha of 0.0062, implying that it can generate a 0.006171 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ecofin Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ecofin Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ecofin Global Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
188.01188.99189.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
188.75189.72190.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
185.76186.74187.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
182.71189.79196.87
Details

Ecofin Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ecofin Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ecofin Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ecofin Global Utilities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ecofin Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
3.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Ecofin Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ecofin Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ecofin Global Utilities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (17.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.96 M.
On 29th of November 2024 Ecofin Global paid 0.0205 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ecofin Global Utilities and Infrastructure Trust Shares Down 0.3 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Ecofin Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ecofin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ecofin Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecofin Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding114.4 M

Ecofin Global Technical Analysis

Ecofin Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ecofin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ecofin Global Utilities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ecofin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ecofin Global Predictive Forecast Models

Ecofin Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ecofin Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ecofin Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ecofin Global Utilities

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ecofin Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ecofin Global Utilities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Net Loss for the year was (17.51 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25.96 M.
On 29th of November 2024 Ecofin Global paid 0.0205 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ecofin Global Utilities and Infrastructure Trust Shares Down 0.3 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Other Information on Investing in Ecofin Stock

Ecofin Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ecofin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ecofin with respect to the benefits of owning Ecofin Global security.