Silver Elephant Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.26
| ELEF Stock | CAD 0.36 0.01 2.70% |
Silver |
Silver Elephant Target Price Odds to finish over 23.26
The tendency of Silver Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 23.26 or more in 90 days |
| 0.36 | 90 days | 23.26 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Silver Elephant to move over C$ 23.26 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Silver Elephant Mining probability density function shows the probability of Silver Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Silver Elephant Mining price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.36 and C$ 23.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Silver Elephant has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Silver Elephant average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Silver Elephant Mining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Silver Elephant Mining has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Silver Elephant Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Silver Elephant
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Silver Elephant Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Silver Elephant Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Silver Elephant is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Silver Elephant's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Silver Elephant Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Silver Elephant within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Silver Elephant Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Silver Elephant for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Silver Elephant Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Silver Elephant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silver Elephant has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Silver Elephant has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Silver Elephant has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Silver Elephant Mining has accumulated about 3.83 M in cash with (260.08 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15. | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Silver Elephant Mining Extracts High-Grade Silver at 197 gt from Paca Project, Eyes 2.5M Revenue - StockTitan |
Silver Elephant Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Silver Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Silver Elephant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Silver Elephant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Silver Elephant Technical Analysis
Silver Elephant's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Silver Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Silver Elephant Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Silver Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Silver Elephant Predictive Forecast Models
Silver Elephant's time-series forecasting models is one of many Silver Elephant's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Silver Elephant's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Silver Elephant Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Silver Elephant for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Silver Elephant Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Silver Elephant generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Silver Elephant has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Silver Elephant has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Silver Elephant has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Silver Elephant Mining has accumulated about 3.83 M in cash with (260.08 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15. | |
| Roughly 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Silver Elephant Mining Extracts High-Grade Silver at 197 gt from Paca Project, Eyes 2.5M Revenue - StockTitan |
Other Information on Investing in Silver Stock
Silver Elephant financial ratios help investors to determine whether Silver Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Silver with respect to the benefits of owning Silver Elephant security.