Electrovaya Common Shares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.38
| ELVA Stock | 2.76 0.06 2.13% |
Electrovaya |
Electrovaya Common Target Price Odds to finish below 2.38
The tendency of Electrovaya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.38 or more in 90 days |
| 2.76 | 90 days | 2.38 | about 78.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Electrovaya Common to drop to 2.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 78.04 (This Electrovaya Common Shares probability density function shows the probability of Electrovaya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Electrovaya Common Shares price to stay between 2.38 and its current price of 2.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 suggesting Electrovaya Common Shares market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Electrovaya Common is expected to follow. Additionally Electrovaya Common Shares has an alpha of 0.4622, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Electrovaya Common Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Electrovaya Common
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Electrovaya Common Shares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electrovaya Common's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Electrovaya Common Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Electrovaya Common is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Electrovaya Common's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Electrovaya Common Shares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Electrovaya Common within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Electrovaya Common Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Electrovaya Common for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Electrovaya Common Shares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Electrovaya Common appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Electrovaya Common has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.89 M. | |
| Electrovaya Common generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Electrovaya Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ELVA Enterprise Value 97.93 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Electrovaya Common Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Electrovaya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Electrovaya Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electrovaya Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 M |
Electrovaya Common Technical Analysis
Electrovaya Common's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Electrovaya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Electrovaya Common Shares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Electrovaya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Electrovaya Common Predictive Forecast Models
Electrovaya Common's time-series forecasting models is one of many Electrovaya Common's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Electrovaya Common's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Electrovaya Common Shares
Checking the ongoing alerts about Electrovaya Common for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Electrovaya Common Shares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Electrovaya Common appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Electrovaya Common has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 43.37 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.89 M. | |
| Electrovaya Common generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Electrovaya Common has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ELVA Enterprise Value 97.93 Mil - GuruFocus.com |
Check out Electrovaya Common Backtesting, Electrovaya Common Valuation, Electrovaya Common Correlation, Electrovaya Common Hype Analysis, Electrovaya Common Volatility, Electrovaya Common History as well as Electrovaya Common Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Electrovaya Common. If investors know Electrovaya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Electrovaya Common listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.02 | Revenue Per Share 1.433 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0318 | Return On Equity 0.087 |
The market value of Electrovaya Common Shares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Electrovaya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Electrovaya Common's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Electrovaya Common's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Electrovaya Common's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Electrovaya Common's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Electrovaya Common's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electrovaya Common is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electrovaya Common's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.