Shelton Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 17.82

EMSQX Fund  USD 17.88  0.15  0.85%   
Shelton Emerging's future price is the expected price of Shelton Emerging instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shelton Emerging Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shelton Emerging Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Shelton Emerging Correlation, Shelton Emerging Hype Analysis, Shelton Emerging Volatility, Shelton Emerging History as well as Shelton Emerging Performance.
  
Please specify Shelton Emerging's target price for which you would like Shelton Emerging odds to be computed.

Shelton Emerging Target Price Odds to finish over 17.82

The tendency of Shelton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 17.82  in 90 days
 17.88 90 days 17.82 
about 82.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shelton Emerging to stay above $ 17.82  in 90 days from now is about 82.73 (This Shelton Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Shelton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shelton Emerging Markets price to stay between $ 17.82  and its current price of $17.88 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Shelton Emerging has a beta of 0.0408 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Shelton Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shelton Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shelton Emerging Markets has an alpha of 0.0104, implying that it can generate a 0.0104 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shelton Emerging Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shelton Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shelton Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.8317.8818.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.2517.3018.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.9518.0019.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3618.1518.95
Details

Shelton Emerging Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shelton Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shelton Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shelton Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shelton Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Shelton Emerging Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shelton Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shelton Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Shelton Emerging Technical Analysis

Shelton Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shelton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shelton Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shelton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shelton Emerging Predictive Forecast Models

Shelton Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shelton Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shelton Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shelton Emerging Markets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shelton Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shelton Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Shelton Mutual Fund

Shelton Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shelton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shelton with respect to the benefits of owning Shelton Emerging security.
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