Epsilon Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.62
| EPSN Stock | USD 6.05 0.10 1.68% |
Closest to current price Epsilon long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Epsilon |
Epsilon Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 4.62
The tendency of Epsilon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 4.62 in 90 days |
| 6.05 | 90 days | 4.62 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Epsilon Energy to stay above $ 4.62 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Epsilon Energy probability density function shows the probability of Epsilon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Epsilon Energy price to stay between $ 4.62 and its current price of $6.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Epsilon Energy has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Epsilon Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Epsilon Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Epsilon Energy has an alpha of 0.2755, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Epsilon Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Epsilon Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Epsilon Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Epsilon Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Epsilon Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Epsilon Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Epsilon Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Epsilon Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Epsilon Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Epsilon Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Epsilon Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Epsilon Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Epsilon Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Forum Energy Stock Climbs On 75M Buyback Plan Retail Chatter Shows Optimism - MSN |
Epsilon Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Epsilon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Epsilon Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Epsilon Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.2 M |
Epsilon Energy Technical Analysis
Epsilon Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Epsilon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Epsilon Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Epsilon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Epsilon Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Epsilon Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Epsilon Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Epsilon Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Epsilon Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Epsilon Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Epsilon Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Epsilon Energy is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Forum Energy Stock Climbs On 75M Buyback Plan Retail Chatter Shows Optimism - MSN |
Check out Epsilon Energy Backtesting, Epsilon Energy Valuation, Epsilon Energy Correlation, Epsilon Energy Hype Analysis, Epsilon Energy Volatility, Epsilon Energy History as well as Epsilon Energy Performance. To learn how to invest in Epsilon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Epsilon Energy guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Epsilon Energy. If investors know Epsilon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Epsilon Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 0.25 | Earnings Share 0.24 | Revenue Per Share 1.416 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.155 |
The market value of Epsilon Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Epsilon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Epsilon Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Epsilon Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Epsilon Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Epsilon Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Epsilon Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Epsilon Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Epsilon Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.