Equity Metals Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 23.44

EQMEF Stock  USD 0.15  0.01  6.25%   
Equity Metals' future price is the expected price of Equity Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Equity Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Equity Metals Backtesting, Equity Metals Valuation, Equity Metals Correlation, Equity Metals Hype Analysis, Equity Metals Volatility, Equity Metals History as well as Equity Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Equity Metals' target price for which you would like Equity Metals odds to be computed.

Equity Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 23.44

The tendency of Equity OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 23.44  or more in 90 days
 0.15 90 days 23.44 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity Metals to move over $ 23.44  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Equity Metals probability density function shows the probability of Equity OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equity Metals price to stay between its current price of $ 0.15  and $ 23.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Equity Metals has a beta of -1.84 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Equity Metals are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Equity Metals is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Equity Metals has an alpha of 0.7313, implying that it can generate a 0.73 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Equity Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Equity Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Equity Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.157.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.147.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.187.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.100.160.22
Details

Equity Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.73
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Equity Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equity Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Equity Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Equity Metals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (5.01 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (46.03 K).
Equity Metals has accumulated about 1.03 M in cash with (4.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Equity Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equity OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equity Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding102.9 M

Equity Metals Technical Analysis

Equity Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Equity Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Equity Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equity Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Equity Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Equity Metals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Equity Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Equity Metals has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (5.01 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (46.03 K).
Equity Metals has accumulated about 1.03 M in cash with (4.67 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.

Other Information on Investing in Equity OTC Stock

Equity Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Equity OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Equity with respect to the benefits of owning Equity Metals security.