Equity Residential (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 55.36
| EQR Stock | EUR 68.50 1.50 2.24% |
Equity |
Equity Residential Target Price Odds to finish below 55.36
The tendency of Equity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 55.36 or more in 90 days |
| 68.50 | 90 days | 55.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Equity Residential to drop to € 55.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Equity Residential probability density function shows the probability of Equity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Equity Residential price to stay between € 55.36 and its current price of €68.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Equity Residential has a beta of 0.27 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Equity Residential average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Equity Residential will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Equity Residential has an alpha of 0.0195, implying that it can generate a 0.0195 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Equity Residential Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Equity Residential
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Equity Residential. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Equity Residential Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Equity Residential is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Equity Residential's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Equity Residential, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Equity Residential within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Equity Residential Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Equity Residential for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Equity Residential can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Equity Residential has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Equity Residential has accumulated 7.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 86.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Equity Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity Residential sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Equity Residential Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Equity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Equity Residential's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Equity Residential's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 378.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 934.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 130 M |
Equity Residential Technical Analysis
Equity Residential's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Equity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Equity Residential. In general, you should focus on analyzing Equity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Equity Residential Predictive Forecast Models
Equity Residential's time-series forecasting models is one of many Equity Residential's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Equity Residential's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Equity Residential
Checking the ongoing alerts about Equity Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Equity Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Equity Residential has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Equity Residential has accumulated 7.3 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 86.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Equity Residential has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Equity Residential until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Equity Residential's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Equity Residential sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Equity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Equity Residential's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Equity Stock
When determining whether Equity Residential is a strong investment it is important to analyze Equity Residential's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Equity Residential's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Equity Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Equity Residential Backtesting, Equity Residential Valuation, Equity Residential Correlation, Equity Residential Hype Analysis, Equity Residential Volatility, Equity Residential History as well as Equity Residential Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Equity Stock please use our How to Invest in Equity Residential guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.