Everest Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 338.86
| ERE Stock | EUR 346.80 5.20 1.52% |
Everest |
Everest Group Target Price Odds to finish below 338.86
The tendency of Everest Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 338.86 or more in 90 days |
| 346.80 | 90 days | 338.86 | about 18.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Everest Group to drop to € 338.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 18.7 (This Everest Group probability density function shows the probability of Everest Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Everest Group price to stay between € 338.86 and its current price of €346.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Everest Group has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Everest Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Everest Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Everest Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Everest Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Everest Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Everest Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Everest Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Everest Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Everest Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Everest Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Everest Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0088 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Everest Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Everest Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Everest Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Everest Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Everest Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Everest Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Everest Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Everest Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.1 M |
Everest Group Technical Analysis
Everest Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Everest Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Everest Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Everest Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Everest Group Predictive Forecast Models
Everest Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Everest Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Everest Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Everest Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Everest Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Everest Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Everest Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Everest Stock
When determining whether Everest Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Everest Group's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Everest Group's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Everest Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Everest Group Backtesting, Everest Group Valuation, Everest Group Correlation, Everest Group Hype Analysis, Everest Group Volatility, Everest Group History as well as Everest Group Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Everest Stock please use our How to Invest in Everest Group guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.