Eskay Mining Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.13

ESKYF Stock  USD 0.13  0.01  7.14%   
Eskay Mining's future price is the expected price of Eskay Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eskay Mining Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eskay Mining Backtesting, Eskay Mining Valuation, Eskay Mining Correlation, Eskay Mining Hype Analysis, Eskay Mining Volatility, Eskay Mining History as well as Eskay Mining Performance.
  
Please specify Eskay Mining's target price for which you would like Eskay Mining odds to be computed.

Eskay Mining Target Price Odds to finish over 0.13

The tendency of Eskay Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.13 90 days 0.13 
about 67.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eskay Mining to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.99 (This Eskay Mining Corp probability density function shows the probability of Eskay Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Eskay Mining Corp has a beta of -0.71 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eskay Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eskay Mining Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eskay Mining Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Eskay Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eskay Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eskay Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eskay Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.135.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.115.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.135.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.10.120.15
Details

Eskay Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eskay Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eskay Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eskay Mining Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eskay Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Eskay Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eskay Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eskay Mining Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eskay Mining Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eskay Mining Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Eskay Mining Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (18.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Eskay Mining Corp has accumulated about 8.61 M in cash with (15.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Eskay Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eskay Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eskay Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eskay Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding163.9 M
Short Long Term Debt2.5 M
Shares Float134.4 M

Eskay Mining Technical Analysis

Eskay Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eskay Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eskay Mining Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eskay Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eskay Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Eskay Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eskay Mining's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eskay Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eskay Mining Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eskay Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eskay Mining Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Eskay Mining Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eskay Mining Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Eskay Mining Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (18.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Eskay Mining Corp has accumulated about 8.61 M in cash with (15.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Eskay Pink Sheet

Eskay Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eskay Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eskay with respect to the benefits of owning Eskay Mining security.