Este Lauder (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 65.83
| ESLA Stock | EUR 71.80 2.80 3.75% |
Este |
Este Lauder Target Price Odds to finish below 65.83
The tendency of Este Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 65.83 or more in 90 days |
| 71.80 | 90 days | 65.83 | about 16.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Este Lauder to drop to € 65.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.73 (This The Este Lauder probability density function shows the probability of Este Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Este Lauder price to stay between € 65.83 and its current price of €71.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Este Lauder has a beta of 0.72 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Este Lauder average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Este Lauder will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Este Lauder has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Este Lauder Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Este Lauder
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Este Lauder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Este Lauder Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Este Lauder is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Este Lauder's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Este Lauder, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Este Lauder within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Este Lauder Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Este Lauder for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Este Lauder can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Este Lauder generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Este Lauder has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Este Lauder Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Este Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Este Lauder's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Este Lauder's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 1.54 | |
| Float Shares | 231.65M | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 15 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 56 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.56% |
Este Lauder Technical Analysis
Este Lauder's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Este Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Este Lauder. In general, you should focus on analyzing Este Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Este Lauder Predictive Forecast Models
Este Lauder's time-series forecasting models is one of many Este Lauder's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Este Lauder's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Este Lauder
Checking the ongoing alerts about Este Lauder for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Este Lauder help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Este Lauder generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Este Lauder has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Este Stock
Este Lauder financial ratios help investors to determine whether Este Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Este with respect to the benefits of owning Este Lauder security.