Etao International Co, Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.86
| ETAODelisted Stock | 0.05 0.00 0.00% |
Etao |
Etao International Target Price Odds to finish over 5.86
The tendency of Etao Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 5.86 or more in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 5.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Etao International to move over 5.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Etao International Co, probability density function shows the probability of Etao Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Etao International Co, price to stay between its current price of 0.05 and 5.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 8.59 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Etao International will likely underperform. Additionally Etao International Co, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Etao International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Etao International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Etao International Co,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Etao International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Etao International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Etao International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Etao International Co,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Etao International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.74 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 8.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Etao International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Etao International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Etao International Co, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Etao International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Etao International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Etao International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 58.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (897 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Etao International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Etao Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Etao International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Etao International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.8 M |
Etao International Technical Analysis
Etao International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Etao Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Etao International Co,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Etao Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Etao International Predictive Forecast Models
Etao International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Etao International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Etao International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Etao International Co,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Etao International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Etao International Co, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Etao International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Etao International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Etao International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 58.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (897 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Etao Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Etao International Co, check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Etao International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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