Eventide Gilead Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 53.99

ETGLX Fund  USD 52.66  0.51  0.96%   
Eventide Gilead's future price is the expected price of Eventide Gilead instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eventide Gilead Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eventide Gilead Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Eventide Gilead Correlation, Eventide Gilead Hype Analysis, Eventide Gilead Volatility, Eventide Gilead History as well as Eventide Gilead Performance.
  
Please specify Eventide Gilead's target price for which you would like Eventide Gilead odds to be computed.

Eventide Gilead Target Price Odds to finish over 53.99

The tendency of Eventide Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 53.99  or more in 90 days
 52.66 90 days 53.99 
about 1.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eventide Gilead to move over $ 53.99  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.98 (This Eventide Gilead Fund probability density function shows the probability of Eventide Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eventide Gilead price to stay between its current price of $ 52.66  and $ 53.99  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Eventide Gilead has a beta of 0.99 suggesting Eventide Gilead Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Eventide Gilead is expected to follow. Additionally Eventide Gilead Fund has an alpha of 0.0266, implying that it can generate a 0.0266 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eventide Gilead Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eventide Gilead

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eventide Gilead. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.7052.6653.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.3852.3453.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
51.6552.6153.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.0552.4554.85
Details

Eventide Gilead Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eventide Gilead is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eventide Gilead's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eventide Gilead Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eventide Gilead within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Eventide Gilead Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eventide Gilead for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eventide Gilead can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Eventide Gilead retains about 8.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Eventide Gilead Technical Analysis

Eventide Gilead's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eventide Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eventide Gilead Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eventide Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eventide Gilead Predictive Forecast Models

Eventide Gilead's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eventide Gilead's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eventide Gilead's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eventide Gilead

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eventide Gilead for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eventide Gilead help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Eventide Gilead retains about 8.36% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Eventide Mutual Fund

Eventide Gilead financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eventide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eventide with respect to the benefits of owning Eventide Gilead security.
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