Eaton Vance Tax Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 22.68
| ETO Fund | USD 25.86 0.04 0.15% |
Eaton |
Eaton Vance Target Price Odds to finish below 22.68
The tendency of Eaton Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 22.68 or more in 90 days |
| 25.86 | 90 days | 22.68 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eaton Vance to drop to $ 22.68 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eaton Vance Tax probability density function shows the probability of Eaton Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eaton Vance Tax price to stay between $ 22.68 and its current price of $25.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.86 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Eaton Vance has a beta of 0.61 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Eaton Vance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Eaton Vance Tax will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Eaton Vance Tax has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Eaton Vance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Eaton Vance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eaton Vance Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eaton Vance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eaton Vance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eaton Vance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eaton Vance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eaton Vance Tax, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eaton Vance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Eaton Vance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eaton Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eaton Vance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eaton Vance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Eaton Vance Technical Analysis
Eaton Vance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eaton Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eaton Vance Tax. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eaton Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eaton Vance Predictive Forecast Models
Eaton Vance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eaton Vance's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eaton Vance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Eaton Vance in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Eaton Vance's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Eaton Vance options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Eaton Fund
Eaton Vance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eaton Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eaton with respect to the benefits of owning Eaton Vance security.
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