Everland Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.40

EVER Stock  THB 0.11  0.01  8.33%   
Everland Public's future price is the expected price of Everland Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Everland Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Everland Public Backtesting, Everland Public Valuation, Everland Public Correlation, Everland Public Hype Analysis, Everland Public Volatility, Everland Public History as well as Everland Public Performance.
  
Please specify Everland Public's target price for which you would like Everland Public odds to be computed.

Everland Public Target Price Odds to finish over 5.40

The tendency of Everland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  5.40  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 5.40 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Everland Public to move over  5.40  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Everland Public probability density function shows the probability of Everland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Everland Public price to stay between its current price of  0.11  and  5.40  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Everland Public has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Everland Public average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Everland Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Everland Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Everland Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Everland Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Everland Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.115.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.15.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.115.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.120.13
Details

Everland Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Everland Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Everland Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Everland Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Everland Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Everland Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Everland Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Everland Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Everland Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Everland Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Everland Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Everland Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (137.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 613.38 M.
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Everland Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Everland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Everland Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Everland Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.9 B

Everland Public Technical Analysis

Everland Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Everland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Everland Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Everland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Everland Public Predictive Forecast Models

Everland Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Everland Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Everland Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Everland Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Everland Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Everland Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Everland Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Everland Public has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Everland Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Everland Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 2.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (137.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 613.38 M.
About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Everland Stock

Everland Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Everland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Everland with respect to the benefits of owning Everland Public security.