Expand Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 98.36
| EXE Stock | 97.02 0.11 0.11% |
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Expand Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 98.36
The tendency of Expand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 98.36 after 90 days |
| 97.02 | 90 days | 98.36 | about 90.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expand Energy to stay under 98.36 after 90 days from now is about 90.65 (This Expand Energy probability density function shows the probability of Expand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Expand Energy price to stay between its current price of 97.02 and 98.36 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Expand Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Expand Energy has an alpha of 0.3635, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Expand Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Expand Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expand Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Expand Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Expand Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expand Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expand Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expand Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expand Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Expand Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expand Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expand Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Expand Energy was previously known as Chesapeake Energy and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CHK. | |
| Expand Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 4th of December 2024 Expand Energy paid 0.575 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Chesapeake Energy Rating Increased to Buy at UBS Group |
Expand Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Expand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Expand Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expand Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 143 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Expand Energy Technical Analysis
Expand Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Expand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Expand Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Expand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Expand Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Expand Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Expand Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Expand Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Expand Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Expand Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Expand Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Expand Energy was previously known as Chesapeake Energy and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CHK. | |
| Expand Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| On 4th of December 2024 Expand Energy paid 0.575 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Chesapeake Energy Rating Increased to Buy at UBS Group |
Check out Expand Energy Backtesting, Expand Energy Valuation, Expand Energy Correlation, Expand Energy Hype Analysis, Expand Energy Volatility, Expand Energy History as well as Expand Energy Performance. For information on how to trade Expand Stock refer to our How to Trade Expand Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Petroleum and Natural Gas space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expand Energy. If investors know Expand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Expand Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Expand Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expand Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expand Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Expand Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expand Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Expand Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expand Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expand Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.