Exor NV (Netherlands) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 95.25
| EXO Stock | 88.60 0.60 0.68% |
Exor |
Exor NV Target Price Odds to finish over 95.25
The tendency of Exor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 95.25 or more in 90 days |
| 88.60 | 90 days | 95.25 | about 48.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exor NV to move over 95.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.44 (This Exor NV probability density function shows the probability of Exor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exor NV price to stay between its current price of 88.60 and 95.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Exor NV has a beta of -0.0964 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Exor NV are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Exor NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Exor NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Exor NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exor NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exor NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Exor NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exor NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exor NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exor NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exor NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Exor NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exor NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exor NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exor NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Exor NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exor NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exor NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 220.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7 B |
Exor NV Technical Analysis
Exor NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exor NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exor NV Predictive Forecast Models
Exor NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exor NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exor NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exor NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exor NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exor NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exor NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Exor Stock Analysis
When running Exor NV's price analysis, check to measure Exor NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exor NV is operating at the current time. Most of Exor NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exor NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exor NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exor NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.