Ford Motor Preferred Stock Chance of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 22.11

F-PC Preferred Stock  USD 23.48  0.11  0.47%   
Ford's future price is the expected price of Ford instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ford Motor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ford Backtesting, Ford Valuation, Ford Correlation, Ford Hype Analysis, Ford Volatility, Ford History as well as Ford Performance.
  
Please specify Ford's target price for which you would like Ford odds to be computed.

Ford Target Price Odds to finish below 22.11

The tendency of Ford Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 22.11  or more in 90 days
 23.48 90 days 22.11 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ford to drop to $ 22.11  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ford Motor probability density function shows the probability of Ford Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ford Motor price to stay between $ 22.11  and its current price of $23.48 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ford has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ford average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ford Motor will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ford Motor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ford Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ford

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ford Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8623.4824.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1723.7924.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.0523.6724.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.2523.7524.24
Details

Ford Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ford is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ford's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ford Motor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ford within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Ford Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ford for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ford Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ford Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 158.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.15 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Ford Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ford Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ford's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ford's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Dividends Paid-2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments44.1 B

Ford Technical Analysis

Ford's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ford Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ford Motor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ford Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ford Predictive Forecast Models

Ford's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ford's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ford's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ford Motor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ford for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ford Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ford Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ford Motor has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 158.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.15 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Other Information on Investing in Ford Preferred Stock

Ford financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ford Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ford with respect to the benefits of owning Ford security.