FARM 51 (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.99

F51 Stock  EUR 2.92  0.09  3.18%   
FARM 51's future price is the expected price of FARM 51 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FARM 51 GROUP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out FARM 51 Backtesting, FARM 51 Valuation, FARM 51 Correlation, FARM 51 Hype Analysis, FARM 51 Volatility, FARM 51 History as well as FARM 51 Performance.
  
Please specify FARM 51's target price for which you would like FARM 51 odds to be computed.

FARM 51 Target Price Odds to finish below 2.99

The tendency of FARM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 2.99  after 90 days
 2.92 90 days 2.99 
about 33.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FARM 51 to stay under € 2.99  after 90 days from now is about 33.18 (This FARM 51 GROUP probability density function shows the probability of FARM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FARM 51 GROUP price to stay between its current price of € 2.92  and € 2.99  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FARM 51 has a beta of 0.19. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FARM 51 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FARM 51 GROUP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FARM 51 GROUP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   FARM 51 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FARM 51

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FARM 51 GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.572.835.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.202.464.72
Details

FARM 51 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FARM 51 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FARM 51's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FARM 51 GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FARM 51 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

FARM 51 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FARM 51 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FARM 51 GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FARM 51 GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

FARM 51 Technical Analysis

FARM 51's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FARM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FARM 51 GROUP. In general, you should focus on analyzing FARM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FARM 51 Predictive Forecast Models

FARM 51's time-series forecasting models is one of many FARM 51's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FARM 51's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about FARM 51 GROUP

Checking the ongoing alerts about FARM 51 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FARM 51 GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FARM 51 GROUP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in FARM Stock

FARM 51 financial ratios help investors to determine whether FARM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FARM with respect to the benefits of owning FARM 51 security.