First Industrial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.11
| F5W Stock | EUR 48.40 0.20 0.41% |
First |
First Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 38.11
The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 38.11 or more in 90 days |
| 48.40 | 90 days | 38.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Industrial to drop to € 38.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This First Industrial Realty probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Industrial Realty price to stay between € 38.11 and its current price of €48.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.16 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Industrial Realty has a beta of -0.0764. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Industrial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Industrial Realty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Industrial Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. First Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Industrial Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Industrial Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
First Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Industrial Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
First Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.1 M |
First Industrial Technical Analysis
First Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Industrial Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
First Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about First Industrial Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about First Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Industrial Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| First Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in First Stock
When determining whether First Industrial Realty is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Industrial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Industrial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out First Industrial Backtesting, First Industrial Valuation, First Industrial Correlation, First Industrial Hype Analysis, First Industrial Volatility, First Industrial History as well as First Industrial Performance. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.