Far East (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.40

F6H Stock  EUR 0.62  0.01  1.64%   
Far East's future price is the expected price of Far East instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Far East Horizon performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Far East Backtesting, Far East Valuation, Far East Correlation, Far East Hype Analysis, Far East Volatility, Far East History as well as Far East Performance.
  
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Far East Target Price Odds to finish over 11.40

The tendency of Far Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 11.40  or more in 90 days
 0.62 90 days 11.40 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Far East to move over € 11.40  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Far East Horizon probability density function shows the probability of Far Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Far East Horizon price to stay between its current price of € 0.62  and € 11.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Far East will likely underperform. Moreover Far East Horizon has an alpha of 1.2666, implying that it can generate a 1.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Far East Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Far East

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Far East Horizon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6111.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.7211.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.6411.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.520.570.61
Details

Far East Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Far East is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Far East's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Far East Horizon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Far East within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Far East Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Far East for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Far East Horizon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Far East Horizon is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Far East Horizon has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Far East Horizon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Far East Horizon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Far East Horizon has accumulated about 1.1 B in cash with (14.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.
Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Far East Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Far Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Far East's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Far East's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.3 B

Far East Technical Analysis

Far East's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Far Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Far East Horizon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Far Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Far East Predictive Forecast Models

Far East's time-series forecasting models is one of many Far East's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Far East's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Far East Horizon

Checking the ongoing alerts about Far East for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Far East Horizon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Far East Horizon is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Far East Horizon has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Far East Horizon appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Far East Horizon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Far East Horizon has accumulated about 1.1 B in cash with (14.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.
Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Far Stock

Far East financial ratios help investors to determine whether Far Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Far with respect to the benefits of owning Far East security.