FORWARD AIR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.11
| FA2 Stock | EUR 31.80 0.20 0.63% |
FORWARD |
FORWARD AIR Target Price Odds to finish below 29.11
The tendency of FORWARD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 29.11 or more in 90 days |
| 31.80 | 90 days | 29.11 | roughly 2.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FORWARD AIR to drop to € 29.11 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.07 (This FORWARD AIR P probability density function shows the probability of FORWARD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FORWARD AIR P price to stay between € 29.11 and its current price of €31.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.02 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FORWARD AIR will likely underperform. Additionally FORWARD AIR P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FORWARD AIR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FORWARD AIR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FORWARD AIR P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FORWARD AIR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FORWARD AIR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FORWARD AIR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FORWARD AIR P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FORWARD AIR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
FORWARD AIR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FORWARD AIR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FORWARD AIR P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FORWARD AIR P had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
FORWARD AIR Technical Analysis
FORWARD AIR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FORWARD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FORWARD AIR P. In general, you should focus on analyzing FORWARD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FORWARD AIR Predictive Forecast Models
FORWARD AIR's time-series forecasting models is one of many FORWARD AIR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FORWARD AIR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FORWARD AIR P
Checking the ongoing alerts about FORWARD AIR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FORWARD AIR P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FORWARD AIR P had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in FORWARD Stock
FORWARD AIR financial ratios help investors to determine whether FORWARD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FORWARD with respect to the benefits of owning FORWARD AIR security.