Fabxx Fund Chance of Future Money Market Fund Price Finishing Over 22.25

FABXX Fund   1.00  0.49  32.89%   
Fabxx's future price is the expected price of Fabxx instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fabxx performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fabxx Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fabxx Correlation, Fabxx Hype Analysis, Fabxx Volatility, Fabxx History as well as Fabxx Performance.
  
Please specify Fabxx's target price for which you would like Fabxx odds to be computed.

Fabxx Target Price Odds to finish over 22.25

The tendency of Fabxx Money Market Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  22.25  or more in 90 days
 1.00 90 days 22.25 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fabxx to move over  22.25  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fabxx probability density function shows the probability of Fabxx Money Market Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fabxx price to stay between its current price of  1.00  and  22.25  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fabxx has a beta of 0.17. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fabxx average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fabxx will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fabxx has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fabxx Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fabxx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fabxx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the money market fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the money market fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fabxx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.007.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.987.44
Details

Fabxx Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fabxx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fabxx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fabxx, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fabxx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Fabxx Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fabxx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fabxx can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fabxx generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fabxx has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fabxx has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Fabxx Technical Analysis

Fabxx's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fabxx Money Market Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fabxx. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fabxx Money Market Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fabxx Predictive Forecast Models

Fabxx's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fabxx's money market fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fabxx's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the money market fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fabxx

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fabxx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fabxx help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fabxx generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fabxx has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fabxx has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Fabxx Money Market Fund

Fabxx financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fabxx Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fabxx with respect to the benefits of owning Fabxx security.
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