Nuveen Louisiana Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.69

FAFLX Fund  USD 10.67  0.01  0.09%   
Nuveen Louisiana's future price is the expected price of Nuveen Louisiana instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuveen Louisiana Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuveen Louisiana Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nuveen Louisiana Correlation, Nuveen Louisiana Hype Analysis, Nuveen Louisiana Volatility, Nuveen Louisiana History as well as Nuveen Louisiana Performance.
  
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Nuveen Louisiana Target Price Odds to finish over 10.69

The tendency of Nuveen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.69  or more in 90 days
 10.67 90 days 10.69 
about 9.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Louisiana to move over $ 10.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.6 (This Nuveen Louisiana Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Louisiana Mun price to stay between its current price of $ 10.67  and $ 10.69  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.69 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nuveen Louisiana Municipal has a beta of -0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuveen Louisiana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuveen Louisiana Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuveen Louisiana Municipal has an alpha of 0.0032, implying that it can generate a 0.003196 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nuveen Louisiana Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Louisiana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Louisiana Mun. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4310.6810.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9810.2311.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4410.6910.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5410.6010.66
Details

Nuveen Louisiana Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Louisiana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Louisiana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Louisiana Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Louisiana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.45

Nuveen Louisiana Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Louisiana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Louisiana Mun can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuveen Louisiana Mun generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Nuveen Louisiana Mun retains about 5.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Nuveen Louisiana Technical Analysis

Nuveen Louisiana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Louisiana Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuveen Louisiana Predictive Forecast Models

Nuveen Louisiana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Louisiana's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Louisiana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuveen Louisiana Mun

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Louisiana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Louisiana Mun help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuveen Louisiana Mun generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Nuveen Louisiana Mun retains about 5.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Mutual Fund

Nuveen Louisiana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Louisiana security.
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Fundamentals Comparison
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Portfolio Backtesting
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Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon