Franklin Bsp Realty Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 20.92

FBRT-PE Preferred Stock  USD 21.50  0.12  0.56%   
Franklin BSP's future price is the expected price of Franklin BSP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin BSP Realty performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin BSP Backtesting, Franklin BSP Valuation, Franklin BSP Correlation, Franklin BSP Hype Analysis, Franklin BSP Volatility, Franklin BSP History as well as Franklin BSP Performance.
  
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Franklin BSP Target Price Odds to finish below 20.92

The tendency of Franklin Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 20.92  or more in 90 days
 21.50 90 days 20.92 
about 1.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin BSP to drop to $ 20.92  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.32 (This Franklin BSP Realty probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin BSP Realty price to stay between $ 20.92  and its current price of $21.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Franklin BSP has a beta of 0.0917. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin BSP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin BSP Realty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin BSP Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Franklin BSP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin BSP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin BSP Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.7321.5022.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.1821.9522.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.9921.7622.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.5421.7321.93
Details

Franklin BSP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin BSP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin BSP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin BSP Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin BSP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Franklin BSP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin BSP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin BSP Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin BSP Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Franklin BSP Realty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Franklin BSP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Franklin Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Franklin BSP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin BSP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments415 M

Franklin BSP Technical Analysis

Franklin BSP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin BSP Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin BSP Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin BSP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin BSP's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin BSP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin BSP Realty

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin BSP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin BSP Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Franklin BSP Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Franklin BSP Realty has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Preferred Stock

Franklin BSP financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin BSP security.