Franklin Bsp Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.24
| FBRT Stock | USD 12.68 0.07 0.55% |
Franklin |
Franklin BSP Target Price Odds to finish below 12.24
The tendency of Franklin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.24 or more in 90 days |
| 12.68 | 90 days | 12.24 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin BSP to drop to $ 12.24 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Franklin BSP Realty probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin BSP Realty price to stay between $ 12.24 and its current price of $12.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Franklin BSP Realty has a beta of -0.11. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Franklin BSP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Franklin BSP Realty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Franklin BSP Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Franklin BSP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Franklin BSP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin BSP Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Franklin BSP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin BSP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin BSP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin BSP Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin BSP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Franklin BSP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin BSP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin BSP Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Franklin BSP Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Franklin BSP Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.s recent 5.5 percent pullback adds to one-year year losses, institutional owners may take drastic measures |
Franklin BSP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Franklin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Franklin BSP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin BSP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 343.7 M |
Franklin BSP Technical Analysis
Franklin BSP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin BSP Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Franklin BSP Predictive Forecast Models
Franklin BSP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin BSP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin BSP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Franklin BSP Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin BSP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin BSP Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Franklin BSP Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Franklin BSP Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.s recent 5.5 percent pullback adds to one-year year losses, institutional owners may take drastic measures |
Additional Tools for Franklin Stock Analysis
When running Franklin BSP's price analysis, check to measure Franklin BSP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Franklin BSP is operating at the current time. Most of Franklin BSP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Franklin BSP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Franklin BSP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Franklin BSP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.