Fa529 Cg Pt Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.67

FCPLX Fund  USD 18.52  0.01  0.05%   
Fa529 Cg's future price is the expected price of Fa529 Cg instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fa529 Cg Pt performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fa529 Cg Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fa529 Cg Correlation, Fa529 Cg Hype Analysis, Fa529 Cg Volatility, Fa529 Cg History as well as Fa529 Cg Performance.
  
Please specify Fa529 Cg's target price for which you would like Fa529 Cg odds to be computed.

Fa529 Cg Target Price Odds to finish over 18.67

The tendency of Fa529 Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.67  or more in 90 days
 18.52 90 days 18.67 
about 20.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fa529 Cg to move over $ 18.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.66 (This Fa529 Cg Pt probability density function shows the probability of Fa529 Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fa529 Cg Pt price to stay between its current price of $ 18.52  and $ 18.67  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.06 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fa529 Cg has a beta of 0.0944. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fa529 Cg average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fa529 Cg Pt will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fa529 Cg Pt has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fa529 Cg Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fa529 Cg

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fa529 Cg Pt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4418.6618.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3318.5518.77
Details

Fa529 Cg Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fa529 Cg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fa529 Cg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fa529 Cg Pt, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fa529 Cg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.44

Fa529 Cg Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fa529 Cg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fa529 Cg Pt can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fa529 Cg Pt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Fa529 Cg Technical Analysis

Fa529 Cg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fa529 Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fa529 Cg Pt. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fa529 Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fa529 Cg Predictive Forecast Models

Fa529 Cg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fa529 Cg's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fa529 Cg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fa529 Cg Pt

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fa529 Cg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fa529 Cg Pt help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fa529 Cg Pt generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Fa529 Mutual Fund

Fa529 Cg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fa529 Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fa529 with respect to the benefits of owning Fa529 Cg security.
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device