Falling Dollar Profund Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.07
| FDPSX Fund | USD 11.86 0.02 0.17% |
Falling |
Falling Dollar Target Price Odds to finish over 13.07
The tendency of Falling Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.07 or more in 90 days |
| 11.86 | 90 days | 13.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Falling Dollar to move over $ 13.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Falling Dollar Profund probability density function shows the probability of Falling Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Falling Dollar Profund price to stay between its current price of $ 11.86 and $ 13.07 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Falling Dollar Profund has a beta of -0.0841. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Falling Dollar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Falling Dollar Profund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Falling Dollar Profund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Falling Dollar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Falling Dollar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Falling Dollar Profund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Falling Dollar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Falling Dollar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Falling Dollar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Falling Dollar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Falling Dollar Profund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Falling Dollar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Falling Dollar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Falling Dollar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Falling Dollar Profund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Falling Dollar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| This fund generated-4.0 ten year return of -4.0% | |
| Falling Dollar retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Falling Dollar Technical Analysis
Falling Dollar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Falling Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Falling Dollar Profund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Falling Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Falling Dollar Predictive Forecast Models
Falling Dollar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Falling Dollar's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Falling Dollar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Falling Dollar Profund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Falling Dollar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Falling Dollar Profund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Falling Dollar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| This fund generated-4.0 ten year return of -4.0% | |
| Falling Dollar retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Falling Mutual Fund
Falling Dollar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Falling Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Falling with respect to the benefits of owning Falling Dollar security.
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities |