Fec Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.001183
| FECOF Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
FEC |
FEC Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.001183
The tendency of FEC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | about 12.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FEC Resources to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.17 (This FEC Resources probability density function shows the probability of FEC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FEC Resources price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.0016 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FEC Resources will likely underperform. In addition to that FEC Resources has an alpha of 2.1947, implying that it can generate a 2.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FEC Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FEC Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FEC Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FEC Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FEC Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FEC Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FEC Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FEC Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0009 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
FEC Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FEC Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FEC Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FEC Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FEC Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FEC Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FEC Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (168.21 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FEC Resources has accumulated about 50.14 K in cash with (191.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
FEC Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FEC Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FEC Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FEC Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 861.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114 K |
FEC Resources Technical Analysis
FEC Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FEC Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FEC Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing FEC Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FEC Resources Predictive Forecast Models
FEC Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many FEC Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FEC Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FEC Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about FEC Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FEC Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FEC Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| FEC Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FEC Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| FEC Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (168.21 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FEC Resources has accumulated about 50.14 K in cash with (191.8 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in FEC Pink Sheet
FEC Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether FEC Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FEC with respect to the benefits of owning FEC Resources security.