Federal Bank (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 211.92
| FEDERALBNK | 214.34 0.94 0.44% |
Federal |
Federal Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 211.92
The tendency of Federal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 211.92 in 90 days |
| 214.34 | 90 days | 211.92 | about 8.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Bank to stay above 211.92 in 90 days from now is about 8.72 (This The Federal Bank probability density function shows the probability of Federal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federal Bank price to stay between 211.92 and its current price of 214.34 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Federal Bank has a beta of 0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Federal Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Federal Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Federal Bank has an alpha of 0.2202, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Federal Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Federal Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Federal Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Federal Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Federal Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Federal Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Federal Bank shares 0.81 percent as Sensex falls - The Economic Times |
Federal Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Federal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Federal Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.5 B |
Federal Bank Technical Analysis
Federal Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Federal Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Federal Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Federal Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federal Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federal Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Federal Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Federal Bank generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Federal Bank shares 0.81 percent as Sensex falls - The Economic Times |
Other Information on Investing in Federal Stock
Federal Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal Bank security.