Frequency Electronics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.22

FEIM Stock  USD 13.89  0.01  0.07%   
Frequency Electronics' future price is the expected price of Frequency Electronics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Frequency Electronics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Frequency Electronics Backtesting, Frequency Electronics Valuation, Frequency Electronics Correlation, Frequency Electronics Hype Analysis, Frequency Electronics Volatility, Frequency Electronics History as well as Frequency Electronics Performance.
To learn how to invest in Frequency Stock, please use our How to Invest in Frequency Electronics guide.
  
At this time, Frequency Electronics' Price Sales Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of November 2024, Price Fair Value is likely to grow to 2.40, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 15.46. Please specify Frequency Electronics' target price for which you would like Frequency Electronics odds to be computed.

Frequency Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 15.22

The tendency of Frequency Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 15.22  after 90 days
 13.89 90 days 15.22 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frequency Electronics to stay under $ 15.22  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Frequency Electronics probability density function shows the probability of Frequency Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frequency Electronics price to stay between its current price of $ 13.89  and $ 15.22  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.92 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Frequency Electronics has a beta of 0.37. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Frequency Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Frequency Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Frequency Electronics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Frequency Electronics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Frequency Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frequency Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0513.9015.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3715.2217.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3214.1716.02
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4717.0018.87
Details

Frequency Electronics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frequency Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frequency Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frequency Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frequency Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Frequency Electronics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frequency Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frequency Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frequency Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Frequency Electronics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Advice - Stock Traders Daily

Frequency Electronics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frequency Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frequency Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frequency Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.3 M

Frequency Electronics Technical Analysis

Frequency Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frequency Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frequency Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frequency Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Frequency Electronics Predictive Forecast Models

Frequency Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Frequency Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frequency Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Frequency Electronics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Frequency Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frequency Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frequency Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Frequency Electronics is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Advice - Stock Traders Daily
When determining whether Frequency Electronics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Frequency Electronics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Frequency Electronics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Frequency Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Frequency Electronics. If investors know Frequency will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Frequency Electronics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.394
Earnings Share
0.62
Revenue Per Share
6.119
Return On Assets
0.0415
Return On Equity
0.175
The market value of Frequency Electronics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Frequency that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Frequency Electronics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Frequency Electronics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Frequency Electronics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Frequency Electronics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Frequency Electronics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Frequency Electronics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Frequency Electronics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.