F5 Networks (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4967.95
| FFIV Stock | MXN 4,643 0.00 0.00% |
FFIV |
F5 Networks Target Price Odds to finish below 4967.95
The tendency of FFIV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4,968 after 90 days |
| 4,643 | 90 days | 4,968 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of F5 Networks to stay under 4,968 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This F5 Networks probability density function shows the probability of FFIV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of F5 Networks price to stay between its current price of 4,643 and 4,968 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon F5 Networks has a beta of 0.64. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, F5 Networks average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding F5 Networks will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally F5 Networks has an alpha of 0.3798, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). F5 Networks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for F5 Networks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as F5 Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.F5 Networks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. F5 Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the F5 Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold F5 Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of F5 Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 499.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
F5 Networks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of F5 Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for F5 Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| F5 Networks had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
F5 Networks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FFIV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential F5 Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F5 Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.9 M |
F5 Networks Technical Analysis
F5 Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FFIV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of F5 Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing FFIV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
F5 Networks Predictive Forecast Models
F5 Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many F5 Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary F5 Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about F5 Networks
Checking the ongoing alerts about F5 Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for F5 Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| F5 Networks had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for FFIV Stock Analysis
When running F5 Networks' price analysis, check to measure F5 Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy F5 Networks is operating at the current time. Most of F5 Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of F5 Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move F5 Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of F5 Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.