Figeac Aero (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.66
| FGA Stock | EUR 5.90 0.02 0.34% |
Figeac |
Figeac Aero Target Price Odds to finish below 5.66
The tendency of Figeac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 5.66 or more in 90 days |
| 5.90 | 90 days | 5.66 | about 25.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Figeac Aero to drop to € 5.66 or more in 90 days from now is about 25.78 (This Figeac Aero SA probability density function shows the probability of Figeac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Figeac Aero SA price to stay between € 5.66 and its current price of €5.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Figeac Aero has a beta of 0.0385. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Figeac Aero average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Figeac Aero SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Figeac Aero SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Figeac Aero Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Figeac Aero
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Figeac Aero SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Figeac Aero Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Figeac Aero is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Figeac Aero's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Figeac Aero SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Figeac Aero within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0089 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Figeac Aero Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Figeac Aero for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Figeac Aero SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Figeac Aero SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Figeac Aero SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 281.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.11 M. | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Figeac Aero Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Figeac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Figeac Aero's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Figeac Aero's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.3 M |
Figeac Aero Technical Analysis
Figeac Aero's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Figeac Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Figeac Aero SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Figeac Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Figeac Aero Predictive Forecast Models
Figeac Aero's time-series forecasting models is one of many Figeac Aero's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Figeac Aero's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Figeac Aero SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Figeac Aero for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Figeac Aero SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Figeac Aero SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Figeac Aero SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 281.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.11 M. | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Figeac Stock
Figeac Aero financial ratios help investors to determine whether Figeac Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Figeac with respect to the benefits of owning Figeac Aero security.